More likely to flip? Georgia or NC?

[Schiff for Senate]

GA now is more likely to vote R

What? Assuming you're saying GA is likelier to go red than NC (though there are a few other meanings you could've had, admittedly), lol.

[Schiff for Senate]

Depends on who the GOP candidate is and the state of the national environment.

Of course it depends upon those obvious factors. Care to further elaborate?
Say it's Biden vs DeSantis, Biden vs Trump, Harris vs DeSantis, Harris vs Trump. What would you consider likelier to flip in each scenario? Personally, I'd say with DeSantis, it's GA, with Trump vs Harris, it's 50-50, and with Trump vs Biden, it's NC.

[Schiff for Senate]

Depends on who the GOP candidate is and the state of the national environment.

Of course it depends upon those obvious factors. Care to further elaborate?
Say it's Biden vs DeSantis, Biden vs Trump, Harris vs DeSantis, Harris vs Trump. What would you consider likelier to flip in each scenario? Personally, I'd say with DeSantis, it's GA, with Trump vs Harris, it's 50-50, and with Trump vs Biden, it's NC.

Yeah I agree with your scenarios. I think Trump likely loses NC vs Biden at this rate, but Harris is bad enough that NC is still winnable for Trump. With DeSantis assuming he stays on message, I think he has a shot of flipping GA but it's within 2 points either way, because of demographics. I'm not super worried about RDS losing NC vs Biden or obviously Harris though.

It's definitely *winnable* for Trump, pretty much no matter what.

Pretty much agree with you, except GA may very well be more than Biden+2 if it's Trump he faces.