Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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Posts: 12,347
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« on: June 15, 2021, 07:47:06 PM » |
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Probably a 3/4 chance it would, since Democrats retained only a small majority, and any large factor (such as the presidential nominee) could impact how some close Democratic races went (for example, it's possible another seat or two in CA flips red, and IA-03 would also likely go red, as well as NJ-07). I think that any race Democrats won by less than 4% could possibly flip with Sanders as the nominee. (Also, on a somewhat unrelated note, it seems very possible Sanders would underperform in the suburbs given his progressivism, with suburbanites choosing Trump as 'the lesser of two evils', and would therefore likely lose Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona and Pennsylvania - and thereby lose to Trump.)
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