1992 had Perot not run (user search)
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  1992 had Perot not run (search mode)
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Author Topic: 1992 had Perot not run  (Read 3595 times)
hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« on: December 21, 2008, 06:52:08 PM »

Most polls showed that Perot voters were evenly divided in voting for Clinton in 1996. Also, not that many were conservative and many were very frustrated at the state of the GOP, but didn't want to vote for Clinton. Clinton would have benefited in the north and south, while bush would have benefited out west (tradition of 3rd party candidates), so here is what i would have instead:
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hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2008, 09:34:05 PM »

Yeah, states like Montana and Georgia are the two most obvious Perot flips, while many Northeastern states are creepily close.
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hcallega
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,523
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.10, S: -3.90

« Reply #2 on: December 30, 2008, 10:01:46 AM »

So Ohio flips, but I find it hard to believe that Perot voters in Montana were naturally going to go for Clinton. While it is probably the most Democratic of the mountain west states, it also has a lot of progressive republicans.
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