Why trump doing well in the very educated new england region? (user search)
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  Why trump doing well in the very educated new england region? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why trump doing well in the very educated new england region?  (Read 2156 times)
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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Posts: 14,803
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Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« on: April 12, 2016, 07:00:12 PM »
« edited: April 12, 2016, 07:07:26 PM by Sprouts Farmers Market »

Even though New England has on average more college graduates than any other region, a majority still don't have college degrees. Trump does best with working-class voters in New England who aren't educated, while candidates like Kasich does best with upper-class voters with college degrees.

Trump leads those with Bachelor's Degrees handily in the northeast and Mid-Atlantic. He struggles a bit more with postgrads, but still posts a solid percentage and is often statistically tied for first (even using the extremely conservative and inaccurate smaller MoE from the general sample).

In fact, I believe some New York polls had him doing equally well or even better with the college-educated.

From this morning's Wall Street Journal:
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And that last part is hardly accurate considering his intra-party gender gap is rarely more than 2-3% at max. It's a poorly extrapolated stereotype nationwide. College graduates in the Midwest are an issue, and that's about it. The religious weren't an issue in the South, so I'm calling out the second half of that as extremely lazy punditry.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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*****
Posts: 14,803
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #1 on: April 12, 2016, 07:09:32 PM »

New England is in no way a stereotypical 'everybody graduated from Harvard or MIT', as-seen-on-TV utopia.

Exactly.

The areas the OP is talking about actually went to Trump in MA...Cruz won all of ME...and we can't really tell much from NH because the vote was so fractured.

Maine is not a remotely fair sample as we know they effectively made it impossible to vote. Trump is clearly the most popular with the actual populace. I don't say that as a biased statement. All indications point to that - it's obviously not something I'd say about other places he lost.

But Massachusetts showed consistency throughout the state as you said, and that should be enough.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,803
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2016, 08:13:00 AM »

My uninformed speculation (not having lived in New England) is that Trump's rude bully schtick plays better in New England. There it can be perceived as a sort of bluff, no-fooling honesty, unlike in the Mid-West, Mountain West, or (I suspect) Pacific Coast, where he instead comes off as a reprehensible and despicable jerk.

Thank you, finally someone with sense rather than another person coming in here to falsely mock the poor. The rudeness is the only reason I can vote for a Republican.
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