AZ-PPP: Paul/Huck/Christie with a lead against Hillary, others are about tied (user search)
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  AZ-PPP: Paul/Huck/Christie with a lead against Hillary, others are about tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-PPP: Paul/Huck/Christie with a lead against Hillary, others are about tied  (Read 4758 times)
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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Posts: 14,786
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Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« on: May 06, 2015, 12:51:16 PM »

I thought Carson would at least have a lead, but overall looks about as expected.

Sadly, Walker is looking worse and worse and I'm not even surprised at this point. I don't know how. It's not like he's gotten any name recognition since polling started. I hope that's a fixable case of anonymity but I must say I'm concerned. I had supported him initially over Paul and Christie because I thought he had the winnability factor but that is yet to be seen while my two preferred candidates may actually be quite strong (particularly Paul).

Rubio could play Clinton close, but I don't feel quite safe enough with him. Huckabee would do better than anyone on this forum expects, but despite he can't win all of swing states needed to win overall. (He'd win some for sure.) Paul is the only one I have serious faith in.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,786
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2015, 10:46:40 PM »

One of the interesting crosstabs though was with Christie vs. Hillary. Christie's getting a strong bit of crossover support from Obama voters while Romney voters are a bit more undecided thus far. Definitely a good sign that we should keep tabs on in other states.

Huckabee also has a lot of outstanding Romney support, but can we count on him to pick that up? Especially in other states that's unlikely.

Paul vs. Clinton is going to give us incredible crosstabs. Nearly identical undecideds based on 2012 vote with a good deal of crossing over. More proof that could be ripe for realigning the current coalitions - something the GOP needs desperately since the current map is such an uphill battle.
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