Don’t think you can reconcile 2022 at all with these numbers.
The theory of Trump losing California and N.Y by way smaller numbers while losing all the swing states, just like the GOP in 2022 for example, is credible.
The possibility of Biden losing the Popular Vote by a significant margin while winning 300+E.V. is real.
Not really. California is entirely attributable to their characteristic poor minority turnout in non-Presidential years. If I had to guess, Texas and New York had that same disparity too.
