Is this a plausible map for 2024? (user search)
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  Is this a plausible map for 2024? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is this a plausible map for 2024?  (Read 1343 times)
Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.
UnvaccinatedNcircumcised
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« on: May 06, 2021, 11:58:18 PM »
« edited: May 07, 2021, 01:25:53 PM by changed out of respect »

https://www.270towin.com/maps/2engo
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Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.
UnvaccinatedNcircumcised
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Posts: 126
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2021, 01:30:05 PM »

I don't see a map in your post.
I have posted a link. Thank you for letting me know.
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Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.
UnvaccinatedNcircumcised
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Posts: 126
United States


« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2021, 04:20:46 PM »
« Edited: May 20, 2021, 11:55:53 AM by changed out of respect »

I’d be a bit surprised to see Maine flip in this scenario, but sure, it’s plausible.
It seems to me that Maine at large is more competitive than NH. NH was very close in '16 but drifted toward the Democrats in 2020, and has not been won by the GOP since 2000. Maine's 2nd district is already strongly Republican (voting nearly 60% for Trump TWICE) and Maine is less educated than NH and getting whiter. It seems that Maine at large would flip before NH or NV. Just my thoughts, I could be completely wrong.
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Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.
UnvaccinatedNcircumcised
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**
Posts: 126
United States


« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2021, 04:23:38 PM »

I don't agree with that stateent, but I do agree that an edit was needed: https://www.270towin.com/maps/rQkAX I figured if GOP flips AZ, then NV closely follows, but PA remains blue, echoing suburban trends in NE-02 and MI.
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Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.
UnvaccinatedNcircumcised
Rookie
**
Posts: 126
United States


« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2021, 04:31:07 PM »

Do you care to explain why ME-AL is out of reach for Republicans. It was very close in 2016, and much like the states of the Rust Belt and Midwest, Maine is becoming older, whiter, and less educated. I agree ME-01 is out of reach for Republicans, but why can't the rural, white, old population of Maine-02 combined with some Republicans in Maine-01 outvote the Democratic votersof Maine-01.
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