2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Louisiana

[patzer]

Had a play around with maps if they did increase the supreme court seats to 9 seats. Seems to be a case of compact districts and minimal county splits for supreme court seats.

A 6-3 map is doable but has two significant disadvantages: firstly the two New Orleans districts would be plurality white (albeit safe D), and secondly the 5th would be almost completely changed which the incumbent there may not be happy with.
https://davesredistricting.org/join/21f797b5-5409-4401-9903-6495faf344fe

On the other hand a 7-2 map can be done with only a single county split, with existing districts preserved better, and it looks neater, but of course 7-2 is less proportional. https://davesredistricting.org/join/fd521948-0117-4230-ae3c-822f69317fed

[patzer]

here's my attempt at drawing a compact louisiana map



The 2nd is Biden +13, VAP 46% black and 45% white. 1st is Biden +29, VAP 44% white and 40% black. Both should be consistently black performing despite not reaching 50%.

Wouldn't happen because of double bunking R incumbents, though.

[patzer]

I truly Wonder which LA republican they will throw under the bus.

Theoretically anyone other than Scalise could get the axe, if they care about compactness though it's gotta be Johnson (lol) or Letlow though.

Doesn't it depend on Scalise's health? If he's privately intending to retire next year thanks to his health situation, that would be a reason to remove his seat and save the others. Which is easy enough to do, e.g.

[patzer]

I’m suprised that plan appears to take in nearly all of EastBaton Rouge County Parish. Would’ve thought the GOP would’ve kept out some of the R-leaning decently well-to-do southern part of the County for donor purposes, plus that area is shifting left which might put the district out the reach for Rs in the long run.

Probably a case of wanting the district to favour Letlow over Graves.

[patzer]

With that level of border gore, I'm half surprised they didn't decide to give the 6th an arm to Lake Charles...