State Senates
State Houses
Overall Status
24 States have Republican trifectas - Republican governor and Republican state legislative majorities.
14 States have Democratic trifectas - Democratic governor and Democratic state legislative majorities.
3 States have Republican governors but Democratic state legislative supermajorities (MA, MD, VT).
3 States have Democratic governors but Republican state legislative supermajorities (KS, KY, LA).
4 States have Democratic governors but Republican state legislative majorities (MI, NC, PA, WI).
2 States have very closely divided state legislatures where one party control each, and a governor from the same party as the state house majority (MN, VA)
My thoughts for 2022:
- MA and MD are likely gains for Dem trifectas.
- NV's Dem trifecta is at serious risk, at least for governor.
- R's are favorites for KS, MI, PA, and WI governorships to gain R trifectas. NC will continue having Cooper (D) since he just won.
- MN could easily have both chambers be Republican, and make Walz's governorship a lot harder if he wins re-election (also underrated pickup here)
- R's have at least a 25% chance or so of picking up one chamber in CO, ME, and NV. NM seems difficult based on current numbers but could see it if the governor race is unexpectedly close.
- Of all the places Dems can pick off, AZ has the most tenuous R trifecta, similar to what D's have at the national level now. That is probably their best bet, but it's still less likely they'll get a trifecta in 2022 or even gain one chamber.
R may flip OR house as well.
AZ state leg map was drawn by the committee which favored D last time. But this time, the tie-breaker is a R leaner. Depending on how far she wants to go, it's still unlikely for D to flip them.
