Wisconsin Megathread v3: GOP in MASSIVE DISARRAY

[Holmes]

Are we getting results tonight or on the 13th?

[Holmes]

Based on the fact that there are 0 votes on JS for Milwaukee Mayor, I have to assume that we don't have any city of Milwaukee vote there either.

Yes, the city of Milwaukee is all out (though worth noting there were only what, 5 polling places?)

Yes but there were absentee votes too.

[Holmes]

Milwaukee County is a 25% swing to the left compared to the average State Supreme Court race.

Ouch.

[Holmes]

Wait... am I seeing this right? She's up 12 now? Holy crap!

Edit: Now she's not. They have her at 62% in Waukesha lol.

It’s DDHQ messing up Waukesha.

oh you edited right before I quoted.

[Holmes]

How often do we get to see democratic government return to a corrupt one-party state through a peaceful process?

Every American citizen resident in Wisconsin can join, support, donate to, or vote for the candidates fielded by the Democrat Party of Wisconsin without fear of prosecution.

Bold of you to say that when it’s the Republicans in Wisconsin that have gerrymandered the state to hell in order to preserve an undeserved supermajority in the legislature.

[Holmes]

How often do we get to see democratic government return to a corrupt one-party state through a peaceful process?

Every American citizen resident in Wisconsin can join, support, donate to, or vote for the candidates fielded by the Democrat Party of Wisconsin without fear of prosecution.

Bold of you to say that when it’s the Republicans in Wisconsin that have gerrymandered the state to hell in order to preserve an undeserved supermajority in the legislature.

The Republican Party of Wisconsin do not have a "supermajority in the legislature," whatever the morality of such a state of affairs may be. They have never been able to override the veto of the current Governor - a Democrat - by themselves.

So what’s the argument here? Democrats in Wisconsin are corrupt because Evers can veto bills?

[Holmes]

This is looking closer to a 10% margin than anything else.

[Holmes]

Im doing a swing map and Milwaukee stands out...any idea why Janet didn't really overperform there even though she is doing so massively like everywhere else?

I don’t think absentees have been counted?

[Holmes]

Guys, guys. Everyone chill out. Florence County is at ZERO PERCENT reported. This whole thing could still go the other way....

We need Steve Kornacki on the case RIGHT NOW!

I was poking around the map and realized THERE'S AN EVEN SMALLER COUNTY?! Menominee County small as hell lol. TWO precincts? And literally as I was typing this it updated and IT'S BLUE AF?? 70-30 Janet win. Wisconsin is wild. Indian reservation county?

Yes.

[Holmes]

https://twitter.com/ettingermentum/status/1643441824407625729?s=20

[Holmes]

This is just a massive disaster and man only if Kelly didn’t win the primary .

Dorow would have lost too.

[Holmes]

How long until blue Ozaukee?

A while. It still voted 14 points to the right of the state tonight. The WOW counties are no metro Atlanta or Orange County unfortunately but they are shifting.

[Holmes]

I would be bit cautious in coming to any conclusions on 2024 President race based on this result. Trump is flawed but he has his base and he is gonna do lot better than dan Kelly who seems to be a bad candidate...there were likely lot of Trump voters that voted for Janet on Tuesday and will likely vote for Trump again in 2024. Remember...Ron Johnson just won last November. Final margin in 2024 is likely going to be < 3 pts in either direction in Wisconsin..I would be surprised if it's more than that.

No one is making conclusions on the 2024 election based on these results but no, Kelly and Trump are both similar kind of bad candidates.

[Holmes]

I would be bit cautious in coming to any conclusions on 2024 President race based on this result. Trump is flawed but he has his base and he is gonna do lot better than dan Kelly who seems to be a bad candidate...there were likely lot of Trump voters that voted for Janet on Tuesday and will likely vote for Trump again in 2024. Remember...Ron Johnson just won last November. Final margin in 2024 is likely going to be < 3 pts in either direction in Wisconsin..I would be surprised if it's more than that.

No one is making conclusions on the 2024 election based on these results but no, Kelly and Trump are both similar kind of bad candidates.

absolutely not..Kelly has now lost 2 statewide elections in Wisconsin by double digit margin which is super rare in Wisconsin whereas Trump won the state once by 0.7 points and lost the state by 0.7 points the other time. For your average voter, Trump is a better candidate than Kelly. Also federal race, especially a presidential race is gonna be lot more different than state Supreme Court race in Spring that was going to determine future of abortion rights/gerrymandering in the state.

I’m talking about how they are as candidates, their beliefs and how they act. Not how they have performed.