Early & Absentee Voting Megathread - Build the Freiwal

[Holmes]

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1054160972158357504

Scary numbers for the GOP.

Ralston going hard against his own reporting that 2014 isn't good year to compare.

Fwiw he’s just saying in that tweet that turnout will be 3x-4x higher than 2014, nothing predictive of actual results.

[Holmes]

Iirc Nevada early voting starts off very Democratic (and high turnout), becomes more Republican throughout the week, then again very Democratic in the weekend, repeat the cycle, then a large Democratic push in the final days of early voting.

[Holmes]

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/republicans-outpacing-democrats-early-voting-key-states-nbc-news-finds-n922881?cid=sm_npd_ms_fb_ma

GOP-affiliated voters have surpassed Democratic-affiliated ones in early voting in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee and Texas, the data showed.

Well most of those states have Republican voters than Democratic ones, so it stands to reason.

[Holmes]

I recall some Virginia insider in the know was predicting a Northam landslide in the early morning based on turnout, then by the afternoon was saying things were neck in neck. I never trust what these people say. Just find out when the votes are counted.

[Holmes]

^ It could be the Taylor Swift effect. Or because it’s Tennessee’s first competitive statewide race in over a decade.