Texas could flip. I'm not buying that Cruz is unbeatable. Likely R is fine.
The list looks okay otherwise, maybe move Nevada to tossup possibly.
Somewhat related- Dianne Feinstein, Ben Cardin, and Tom Carper all need to retire. Bill Nelson can stick around one more term.
I totally agree regarding TX and Cruz. If Joaquin Castro runs (which it appear likely)... its a total Turnout Game. Texas 2014 mid-term elections only had 28.5% turnout. In a state that is 45% minority w/ the 1st major mexican american Dem candidate to run for Gov or Senator (at least in a long while)... Turnout for Castro could be unusually high. And Cruz could struggle to inspire Republican turnout.
Because its a midterm... and Cruz is the opponent- Castro has the voters to win (its a matter of if he can turn the out)
But it is ultimately Texas, and Republicans don't need to really turn out in large numbers to win (not that they don't), unlike Democrats. Especially in a midterm.
