I don't see any reason not to call this Safe R, honestly.
1) It's open.
2)
Do you consider the Maryland Senate race next year Likely D for those reasons, too? (For the record: I do)
Yeah. I mean, Cardin "only" won by 8% in an open seat in a Democratic wave year. But the Democrats that have announced in Maryland so far aren't as inept as Brown was, and it's during a Presidential year. So I think Louisiana Democrats have a chance if they don't sh**t the bet with recruitment. They probably will though.