Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[Holmes]

Arizona, Colorado and Michigan should put forward an initiative for 2016.

Only Colorado could conceivably pass it, though. Let's be honest.

[Holmes]

I think I've heard that it's because of something stupid like the marriage certificates list "husband" and "wife", which seems strange to me because that makes it seem like the department that is in charge of producing or editing marriage certificates hold the power of making same-sex marriage legal in New Mexico or not.

[Holmes]

Speaking of Hawaii, what are the odds that gay marriage will be passed in that state by 2016?  The Democrats have over a 2-1 majority in the statehouse and all but one seat in the Senate.

5%.

[Holmes]

AR was 18-75 in Oct. 2012

http://plsc.uark.edu/partners/arkpoll/12/2012_Arkansas_Poll_Summary_Report.pdf

Arkansas Citizens File To Put Marriage Equality On The 2014 Ballot.  It won't pass, of course, but it's a good gesture.

...how can they look at those numbers and think that a 2014 initiative is a good idea?

When you live in a state like Arkansas, the only option you have is to try and try again. There will be no help from the legislature, governor or top court, so you have to be the one to help yourself.

[Holmes]

You'll probably be reverting that back to dark red within hours of a few days though, tbh.

[Holmes]

North Carolina may actually have a majority support for gay marriage. The reason Amendment 1 passed in such a landslide was because the Republicans in the Legislature scheduled the election for the same day as the GOP Presidential Primary, guaranteeing that it would pass with a big majority. So Amendment 1 was a referendum among Republicans on their opinion on gay marriage, and not a real statewide vote.

Okay, but this is North Carolina you're talking about, so...

[Holmes]

Why are Idaho and Arkansas orange, but not Utah, Oklahoma, Texas, Michigan and Virginia?