Canada 2011 Official Thread

[Holmes]

Cons: 37%
NDP: 33%
Libs: 22%

They actually have the Liberals at 19%. http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/2011.04.30_FedPoli_CAN.pdf

Looking good everywhere, being 3 points behind the Conservatives in BC must have them scared a bit. Ontario not really budging... NDP have been making gains there, but it seems at the expense of the Liberals.

[Holmes]

It would take Justin Trudeau, or someone equally charismatic. Bob Rae is just another self-inflicted wound waiting to happen. Even my mother (who's voting Conservative) would jump to the Liberals under Justin Trudeau. But he's young.

[Holmes]

Mmm, I dunno... NDP gains in Ontario have seem to be at the expense of Liberals. I'm expecting some form of PC government after the next election in Ontario. NDP will gain seats in northern Ontario... but the PC will probably kill in southern Ontario outside of Toronto.

[Holmes]

EKOS

Conservatives: 34.6%
NDP: 31.4%
Liberals: 20.4%
BQ: 5.2%
Green: 6.3%

http://ipolitics.ca/2011/05/01/conservative-ndp-gap-narrows-to-three-points-in-dwindling-hours-of-campaign/

[Holmes]

Any sort of coalition or propping up with the help of the BQ would be toxic and unpopular. It would probably reverse any gains the NDP makes in the west. Plus, the Bloc is going to lose a lot tomorrow, they're probably not gonna have strong leadership or much sense of direction.

[Holmes]

I don't see a regional breakdown on the site.

[Holmes]

Don't let the BC trend be real.

[Holmes]

Off to vote in about half an hour.

[Holmes]

I didn't wait at all to vote... there was literally 15 polling stations in the hall. No waits.

[Holmes]

Bob Rae? No. What, do they wanna solidify the Tories' showing in Ontario?

[Holmes]

It seems like the NDP and Liberals have key policy differences that would prevent a merger. the Liberal Party strikes me as a New Labour like party that promotes itself as being fiscally moderate but socially liberal. The NDP fits the model of a Social Democratic party. If both merged, many Liberal supporters might jump ship and support the Tories.

Well yeah, if anyone expects a merged NDP-Liberal party to get 60% of the popular vote... they obviously know nothing about Canadian politics.

[Holmes]

Ha. I can see why you hate him so much now (apart from the horrible party affiliation). Don't worry, he's a tool, and you know it, and I'm sure he knows it too. Or, he might be so much of a tool that he doesn't realize it. Probably the latter?

[Holmes]

Ha. I can see why you hate him so much now (apart from the horrible party affiliation).

My friend and his folks love him though.

"He's the only one that cares about the community."

[Holmes]

Ruth Ellen Brousseau speaks to the media.

http://montreal.ctv.ca/servlet/an/local/CTVNews/20110507/mtl_brosseau_110507/20110507/?hub=MontrealHome

This guy also seems like a gem, working for the city for 26 years, head of the blue collar union, and shows up for work the day after winning in a landslide.

http://lavalnews.ca/article/Fran%C3%A7ois-Pilon-sweeps-Laval-les-iles-190910

[Holmes]

Yeah, I know a lot of immigrants and they're not like that... then again, they're all friends from school and are about my age, so that might not be a representative sample.

[Holmes]

Natural gouverning party... psh, by all means. It was that stupid sense of self-entitlement that helped tank the Liberals. Then again, there's no one in the whole country with a bigger ego or sense of self-entitlement than Harper. However, many Canadians are willing to just close their eyes and block their ears when it comes to Harper's corruption, contempt and incompetence while holding every other party in a higher scope of scrutiny. So maybe.