That gaining Texas is easier than holding Ohio in a post-Dobbs environment. Any prognosticator must grasp that abortion is effectively on the ballot in all of these races.
I agree that people are still underrating abortion as a factor, but I don’t know if I’d go as far to say that this is actually conventional wisdom? Granted, I don’t know how much “conventional wisdom” on the specific senate races even exists right now. People seem to be substituting “Atlas collective” or “Twitter collective” wisdom, which is…a lot dumber and full of hot takes.
Valid, I’m just pre-empting the #trendz crowd who fail to understand that electoral trends and events tend to mirror well… real-life trends and events.
