2012 Forum Republican Straw Poll

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I figured it's about time we have the first one of these. Republicans and Republican-leaning independents only, please. The poll will run for a week.

For those wondering how the candidates were selected, see here.

(Ron Paul added at Libertas' request)

[  ] Sarah Palin
[  ] Mitt Romney
[  ] Mike Huckabee
[  ] Tim Pawlenty
[  ] John Thune
[  ] Bobby Jindal
[  ] Haley Barbour
[  ] Mitch Daniels
[  ] John Bolton
[  ] Newt Gingrich
[  ] Gary Johnson
[  ] Rick Santorum
[  ] Ron Paul
[  ] Write-in: (please specify)

[RIP Robert H Bork]

That's strange, you left out Ron Paul while including joke candidates like John Bolton.

*sigh*

Again, click "see here" if you don't know how the candidates were selected.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

Note that you can indicate multiple preferences, if you wish. I'll determine the results with and without IRV.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

[14] Sarah Palin
[15] Mitt Romney
[1] Mike Huckabee
[2] Tim Pawlenty
[7] John Thune
[8] Bobby Jindal
[12] Haley Barbour
[11] Mitch Daniels
[6] John Bolton
[13] Newt Gingrich
[9] Gary Johnson
[3] Rick Santorum
[10] Ron Paul
[4] Write-in: Chris Christie
[5] Write-in: Mike Pence

Palin and Romney are the only ones I disapprove of, however.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I guess both Daniels and Romney are eliminated and Johnson wins?  Not sure if IRV is allowed to end like this, when there's a tie for 2nd place.

No, it's not. As far as I know, there can only be one elimination at a time. If there's a tie for last, then out of the candidates in the tie, the one with the fewest second preferences is out.

Here's my count of the votes:

Gingrich 1 (A-Bob)
Paul 3 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)
Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 3 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718)
Santorum 1 (Keystone Phil)
Christie 1 (HTMLdon)
Pence 1 (jmfcst)
Huckabee 3 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative)
Johnson 4 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey)
Palin 1 (MorningInAmerica)

(J. J.'s vote is invalid and therefore not counted; he indicates 2 10th preferences)

So, with plurality voting, there's a tie between Romney and Johnson. With IRV:

Second preferences:

Gingrich 0
Santorum 2 (Reaganfan, True Conservative)
Christie 3 (Keystone Phil, Clay, MorningInAmerica)
Pence 0
Palin 1 (feeblepizza)

Third preferences:

Gingrich 4 (jmfcst, paul718, Cathcon, Winfield)
Pence 0

Pence is eliminated. Round 2:

Gingrich 1 (A-Bob)
Paul 3 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)
Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 4 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst)
Santorum 1 (Keystone Phil)
Christie 1 (HTMLdon)
Huckabee 3 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative)
Johnson 4 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey)
Palin 1 (MorningInAmerica)

Second preferences: Same as before. With 0 second preferences, Gingrich is out. Round 3:

Paul 3 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)
Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 4 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst)
Santorum 1 (Keystone Phil)
Christie 1 (HTMLdon)
Huckabee 4 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative, A-Bob)
Johnson 4 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey)
Palin 1 (MorningInAmerica)

Second preferences: Same as before. Palin is eliminated because she has the fewest second preferences. Round 4:

Paul 3 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)
Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 4 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst)
Santorum 1 (Keystone Phil)
Christie 2 (HTMLdon, MorningInAmerica)
Huckabee 4 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative, A-Bob)
Johnson 4 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey)

Santorum is out and Keystone Phil's vote is transferred to Christie. Round 5:

Paul 3 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)
Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 4 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst)
Christie 3 (HTMLdon, MorningInAmerica, Keystone Phil)
Huckabee 4 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative, A-Bob)
Johnson 4 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey)

Second preferences:

Paul 4 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey)
Christie 2 (Clay, True Conservative)

Christie is out and Keystone Phil's vote is exhausted. Round 6:

Paul 3 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)
Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 5 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst, HTMLdon)
Huckabee 4 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative, A-Bob)
Johnson 5 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, MorningInAmerica)

Paul is out and all Paul votes are transferred to Johnson. Round 7:

Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 5 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst, HTMLdon)
Huckabee 4 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative, A-Bob)
Johnson 8 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, MorningInAmerica, Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)

Second preferences:

Romney 3 (HTMLdon, Reaganfan, paul718)
Huckabee 3 (jmfcst, Dallasfan65, SvenssonRS)

Third preferences:

Romney 3 (A-Bob, jmfcst, MorningInAmerica)
Huckabee 4 (feeblepizza, HTMLdon, Cathcon, big bad fab)

Romney is eliminated and all Romney voters are transferred to Daniels. Round 8:

Daniels 9 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst, HTMLdon, tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Huckabee 4 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative, A-Bob)
Johnson 8 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, MorningInAmerica, Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy)

Huckabee is out. Clay's vote is exhausted. Round 9:

Daniels 11 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst, HTMLdon, tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab, Reaganfan, A-Bob)
Johnson 9 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, MorningInAmerica, Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy, True Conservative)

Daniels wins.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

So, here are the results so far (remember, you can still vote until Saturday):

First place: Mitch Daniels
Second place: Gary Johnson
Third place: Mike Huckabee
Fourth place: Mitt Romney
Fifth place: Ron Paul
Sixth place: Chris Christie
Seventh place: Rick Santorum
Eighth place: Sarah Palin
Ninth place: Newt Gingrich
Tenth place: Mike Pence

I'm not including candidates who didn't get any first preferences, of course.

[RIP Robert H Bork]

I'll update the current poll results (and sorry Inks, but I can't count your vote either because it indicates 2 4th preferences)

Round 1: Same as before, but Paul is up to 4 votes thanks to Mint. With plurality voting, there is a three way tie for first place between Romney, Johnson and Paul. With IRV:

Rounds 1-5: Same as before. Round 6:

Paul 4 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy, Mint)
Romney 4 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab)
Daniels 5 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst, HTMLdon)
Huckabee 4 (Reaganfan, Clay, True Conservative, A-Bob)
Johnson 5 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, MorningInAmerica)

Second preferences:

Paul 5 (Dallasfan65, Clay, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey)
Romney 3 (HTMLdon, Reaganfan, paul718)
Huckabee 1 (jmfcst)

Huckabee is out. Round 7:

Paul 5 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy, Mint, Clay)
Romney 5 (tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab, Reaganfan)
Daniels 6 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst, HTMLdon, A-Bob)
Johnson 6 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, MorningInAmerica, True Conservative)

Second preferences:

Paul 5 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, True Conservative)
Romney 4 (A-Bob, HTMLdon, jmfcst, paul718)

Romney is out and all votes are transferred to Daniels. Round 8:

Paul 5 (Libertas, Brandon H, wormyguy, Mint, Clay)
Daniels 11 (feeblepizza, Yelnoc, paul718, jmfcst, HTMLdon, A-Bob, tmthforu94, Cathcon, Winfield, big bad fab, Reaganfan)
Johnson 6 (Dallasfan65, Zarn, SvenssonRS, sparkey, MorningInAmerica, True Conservative)

Paul is out and all Paul votes are transferred to Johnson (except Clay, whose vote is exhausted). Daniels wins 11-10 over Johnson.