Geoffrey Howe
Geoffrey Howe admirer
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,782
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« on: June 12, 2021, 07:28:45 AM » |
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Very interesting question. Agree that Maine would have a strong Tory presence, though I can imagine some NDP support in the more industrial areas like Androscoggin County, or the St John Valley. Plus support for the Liberals on Mount Desert Island and in Portland, maybe Tory support down towards Kennebunkport? Overall I can imagine it quite competitive.
Vermont is interesting. Historically, it would have been ultra-safe for the Tories I think. They would have held on longer than the GOP did; though supporting the PCs as opposed to Reform? The Tory base nowadays would be the Northeast Kingdom, plus Orange County. However, the rest of the state I guess would be Liberal, with some NDP support in Burlington or the particularly left-wing towns. Greens too I suppose.
Minnesota would, historically at least, have a good NDP base due to industry and unionisation. This might affect current politics and make it relatively stronger for the NDP than the Liberals, plus NDP support in central Minneapolis. Suburban Minneapolis Tory-turned-Liberal? Exurban Minneapolis would be the Tory base, though I can see them improving in the rest of the state in recent decades. The strength of the NDP could help split the left-leaning vote and, like Maine, make it very competitive.
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