Has GOP recruitment given Dems a shot at holding the Senate? (user search)
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June 09, 2024, 02:56:21 PM
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  Has GOP recruitment given Dems a shot at holding the Senate? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Has GOP recruitment given Dems a shot at holding the Senate?  (Read 2323 times)
TodayJunior
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Posts: 1,618
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« on: June 21, 2022, 10:13:52 AM »
« edited: June 21, 2022, 10:19:55 AM by TodayJunior »

Pretty much, yes.

Dems will pick up PA, and hold NH and NV.
GOP will hold OH/FL/NC.

The real tossups this cycle are WI/AZ/GA. Gun to my head? GOP holds WI, picks up AZ, and falls short in GA after a runoff, netting a draw overall, so senate is still 50/50.

>>>>>>>>>>>

I really haven’t looked into specific house races as there are 435. I’ll say that the waves of 2010, 2014, and 2018 probably gutted most of the cross-over reps/districts (I.e. blue district republicans and red district Dems), so due to polarization, I’d say the GOP picks up 25-30 seats netting them about a 20 seat margin.
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