TodayJunior
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,568
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« on: September 24, 2021, 06:11:57 PM » |
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« edited: September 25, 2021, 05:25:37 PM by TodayJunior »
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Option #1. It's not happening in any universe under any circumstances. Full stop. I guarantee it.
Why? The Democrat margins in California, New York, and low single-digit Republican margins in Texas (getting thinner) and Florida alone will guarantee this GOP fantasy will never materialize.
Republicans would have to break 40% in California and New York (both unlikely) win Texas by 10-12% (also unlikely), and maintain their Florida margins at 3-5% (the only one that is possible) to have a real shot at the NPV. Honorable mention to Illinois and New Jersey, two other sizable prizes Dems consistently win by 15-20 now, but those would go in the same direction as the aforementioned CA/NY.
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