Where would Hawaii's third Congressional District be? (user search)
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  Where would Hawaii's third Congressional District be? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Where would Hawaii's third Congressional District be?  (Read 3063 times)
justfollowingtheelections
unempprof
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« on: December 02, 2014, 03:43:03 PM »

HI-1: The same as current HI-1 minus places such as Mililani and Pearl City
HI-2: The rest of Oahu
HI-3: neighbor islands

I don't know if it works out but you get the idea. 
Anyway, if this happens, I suspect most of the population growth will be in West Oahu due to the rail, in which case HI-3 would also include parts of Oahu (the North Shore perhaps?).
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justfollowingtheelections
unempprof
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2014, 03:45:41 PM »

It depends on where the growth is; if growth is uniform across the state then Oahu gets another district all to itself, but in the event that Hawaii gets a third district it probably means meteoric growth on at least one of the other islands - most likely the Big Island.   

It would be really interesting to see a exclusive Big Island congressional district, I wonder who would all run....



IIRC, nativist sentiment is the strongest on the island of Hawai'i.  It'd be interesting if a district based on that island could get a "pro-Hawaii" representative to Congress. 

I haven't heard that before, but it would be a shame if the traitorous natives get a seat in Congress.

Are you forgetting of a guy called Akaka?
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justfollowingtheelections
unempprof
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« Reply #2 on: December 02, 2014, 03:46:22 PM »

It depends on where the growth is; if growth is uniform across the state then Oahu gets another district all to itself, but in the event that Hawaii gets a third district it probably means meteoric growth on at least one of the other islands - most likely the Big Island.   

It would be really interesting to see a exclusive Big Island congressional district, I wonder who would all run....



IIRC, nativist sentiment is the strongest on the island of Hawai'i.  It'd be interesting if a district based on that island could get a "pro-Hawaii" representative to Congress. 

Uhh.. no.  That's where the meth addicts are.
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justfollowingtheelections
unempprof
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« Reply #3 on: December 04, 2014, 03:32:04 PM »

That's an interesting map.  IIRC both of Hawaii's  reps in the 114th congress are from the green one and so are some other prominent Hawaii politicians (such as Hanabusa for example).   It includes most of Honolulu's suburbs as well as military bases.  Traffic is terrible but housing is cheaper than it is on the rest of the island.  And it's expected to grow even more population-wise once the rail is built.  There are also a lot of malls here.  It feels a bit like traveling to the '80s or something.
I would say that this district would be the most likely to produce a conserva-dem representative.  If I'm not mistaken, Aiea and Pearl City are currently in HI-1.  Kaneohe probably isn't a good fit for this district (I would probably put it with Kailua (they're more upperclass areas).

The blue district has urban Honolulu where most of the older Asians who never moved to the west side of the island live, but also Polynesian immigrants and college students.  Kailua I believe is in HI-2 currently so putting them here changes the dynamics of the district a bit since it's a much wealthier and more liberal area.  I would guess this district would be more likely to produce business-friendly democrats.

The purple district would be the neighbor islands' chance to get their own candidate.  They're all of course different than each other so I'm not really sure what the candidate would be like.  This would of course be the least Asian district.  The North Shore of Oahu is where the surfing community lives.  Maui is considered the "white" island while it's not really easy to describe the Big Island or Kauai.  While this is the least urban district, I would say that it's also the least conservative.
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