I'm not seeing anything in my numbers so far from WA to suggest R's majorly overperform the primary results.
It's ok if you don't want to answer, but how confident are you in your personal chances?
My personal chances are approximately equivalent to Smiley's chances. Maybe slightly better, but close enough to make little real difference. That is, I don't expect to win at this point barring a true "red wave" situation where a bunch of non-primary voters show up unexpectedly.
But politics is a long game, and I've set myself up well for the future.
That sucks, but as you've alluded to yourself, you've set yourself up for any other potential offices down the line. I offer yourself good luck for your future endeavors, if that helps at all.