MA: Survey USA: Obama Leads MA by 16% (user search)
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  MA: Survey USA: Obama Leads MA by 16% (search mode)
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Author Topic: MA: Survey USA: Obama Leads MA by 16%  (Read 962 times)
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

« on: September 24, 2008, 11:11:06 PM »

Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.

Kerry won Plymouth by 8.  I don't think McCain will improve on his margin by 8 points.

barnstable would be more likely than plymouth to go mccain.

that being said, i dont think mccain will win any mass county.
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WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2008, 11:21:30 PM »

Looks like Mccain might win a county or two.

Kerry won Plymouth by 8.  I don't think McCain will improve on his margin by 8 points.

barnstable would be more likely than plymouth to go mccain.


that being said, i dont think mccain will win any mass county.

Why so?  Plymouth is trending Republican while Barnstable is not, and Kerry won Barnstable by a larger margin.


demographics.

the cape has a much older citizenry.  a demo that is more inclined to fellow oldster mccain.

also, plymouth county is largely suburban.  obama seems to be a better-than-average democrat candidate for suburbia.
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