2000: was this ever a realistic possibility (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 06:01:40 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  2000: was this ever a realistic possibility (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ....
#1
yes, very possible.
 
#2
possible, but unlikely
 
#3
impossible.  bush could never win by losing the 'trifecta' (mi, pa, fl)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 35

Author Topic: 2000: was this ever a realistic possibility  (Read 4408 times)
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

« on: June 18, 2006, 06:58:38 PM »



discuss.
Logged
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2006, 06:20:12 AM »

Right before the election, I knew it would all come down to Florida.

In 1999, Gore was down in 46 states. The exeptions were TN, NY, and I forget the other 2.

Probably MA and RI, assuming that DC is not considered a state.

I think the scenario was not totally out of the question, but pretty implausible. I don't see what Gore could have done that would have won him WV, TN, and AR but cost him states like OR, MN and WA. WI, IA, FL and NM are close enough that them switching is obviously far from out of the question.

The only thing I can think of is that Gore chooses a Southern running mate and Bush chooses a Northerner. But I don't think that would have been enough to do it without both candidates changing their policy positions a bit.

Walter, did you have any particular scenario in mind that would produce this result?

no, i just remember the bush campaign saying in the final days of the election that they could win the election while losing the entire trifecta.  i thought (and still think) that was nonsense.

as for tn, i heard that the gore campaign was shocked to lose it.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 13 queries.