Erc
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 16, 2008, 07:41:31 AM » |
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Obama needs to win Colorado to win this thing, as I've said time and again. (He can win without it, but then he'd need to win in Ohio or in the House).
But he's got a very good shot of winning CO. And if he wins CO, he's in a good position to win the election, assuming he hangs onto WI/PA/MI (which he should).
Kerry 2004 - NH + IA + CO = 264 EV.
All Obama needs to do then is win NM (or NV), which will give him 269 and a House win. If he wins another state (NH or NV), he wins the election outright.
If Obama doesn't win CO, then he needs to win all three of NH/NM/NV for a House win.
This election will be decided out West this year.
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