Erc
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,823
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« on: December 03, 2016, 03:10:50 PM » |
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« edited: December 03, 2016, 03:20:40 PM by Erc »
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Dividing the continental US among its 48 biggest metropolitan areas (Washington is one of them, so we assume there is no federal district at all, or the 23rd Amendment has been repealed, and that the total number of electors is 535.)
Clinton wins 287-248, though the state of Cleveland is probably in the midst of a recount (with Clinton up 1097 votes). It's not deciding though, as Cleveland only has 12 EVs. The tipping point state is Milwaukee (9 EV), where Clinton is up by just under 13,000 votes; it's possible in this universe Trump could be going for a recount, but one that he'll lose.
Compare this to the 2012 map:
Obama wins 291-244, a lot closer than in our universe. Clinton picked up Phoenix, Austin, and San Antonio, but lost Las Vegas, Denver, and Minneapolis (the latter two thanks to the hard Trump swings in the Northern Plains).
Tipping point state here was Sacramento (with Denver just gravy on top of that); possible Romney might not have conceded for a while, with Sacramento within 13,000 votes, but I can't imagine he'd try to pull off recounts in both states.
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