Republican Virgin Islands Caucus results thread (11am-5pm ET)

[Erc]

Remember that there are also three unpledged RNC members from the Virgin Islands going to Cleveland, in addition to the 6 delegates elected today.  For Rule 40 purposes, theoretically winning two could be enough (or fewer, if at least two Uncommitted delegates are elected).

The only person who can win a Rule 40 victory here today outright is Cruz, who'd need to win at least 5 delegates to guarantee it.

[Erc]

Expect a court challenge or a Credentials Committee challenge if the Yobs end up elected.

[Erc]

I was really hoping we could get through this contest without needing to think about the Credentials Committee.

[Erc]

Only the Yobs and the Eilons are contested; the other three delegates (Brady, Cole, and Logan) will be going to Cleveland regardless of the outcome of that court case.

[Erc]

So if the first ballot is extremely close, a couple of nobodies from the Virgin Islands could provide the tiebreak and decide if the contention is contested or not?

Coupled with a bunch of nobodies from American Samoa, probably Guam and North Dakota plus 5 from Louisiana and any other state that provides for unpledged delegates, whether that be initially or after a losing candidate releases them.

I think Colorado and Wyoming have unbound delegates as well. (Wiki seems to disagree?)

The delegate candidates in Colorado and Wyoming may pledge themselves to a candidate at some point during the local/State convention process, in which case they are bound.  Alternatively, they can run as Uncommitted.  Quite similar to the Virgin Islands process, in some sense.

We'll have a better idea of what to expect out of there this Saturday, when Wyoming elects 12 delegates at the County Conventions.

I give a full rundown of the possible unpledged delegates in this post from my megathread.

The largest pot is by far in Pennsylvania, which will have 54 completely uncommitted delegates.