Why did CO, MN, and NH have such strong leftward swings? (user search)
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  Why did CO, MN, and NH have such strong leftward swings? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why did CO, MN, and NH have such strong leftward swings?  (Read 1553 times)
Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,454
United States


« on: March 15, 2021, 10:14:08 AM »
Education and Race. CO, MN, and NH are highly educated. Biden would have won MI, PA, and WI by bigger margins if he reached Hillary/Obama's numbers among Minorities. I'd say a 3% win in PA, a 4-5% win in MI, and a 2% win in WI if Biden reached HRCs numbers.
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Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,454
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2021, 05:49:37 PM »
MN was largely due to Trump not being able to turn out new voters as he did in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Ohio.

In MN, Biden gained 350K more votes than HRC.
In MN, Trump gained 160K more votes than 2016.

In WI, Biden gained 250K more votes than HRC.
In WI, Trump gained 200K more votes than 2016.

In MI, Biden gained 530K more votes than HRC.
In MI, Trump gained 380K more votes than 2016.

In OH, Biden gained 280K more votes than HRC.
In OH, Trump gained 310K more votes than 2016.

In PA, Biden gained 530K More votes than HRC.
In PA, Trump gained 400K more votes than 2016.
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