Predict the 2022 Senate Election if Trump Won (user search)
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  Predict the 2022 Senate Election if Trump Won (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict the 2022 Senate Election if Trump Won  (Read 725 times)
Oregon Eagle Politics
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Posts: 2,453
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« on: January 25, 2021, 11:15:11 PM »

Let's say Trump receives 15K more votes in Georgia, 15K more votes in Arizona, 25K More Votes in Wisconsin, and 25K More Votes in NE-02, and is re-elected President.

Here is my 2022 Senate Prediction: https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election/qb83m5
Iowa could be competitive if Grassley retires, Rubio would still win, and Ohio depends on if Jim Jordan is the GOP nominee or not.
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Oregon Eagle Politics
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,453
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2021, 11:39:43 PM »

Democrats would have likely netted between 4 and 7 seats, enough to flip the Senate. For starters, I'm assuming Loeffler wins the runoff. In your scenario, Perdue probably squeaked by with just over 50%, so Republicans would hold the Senate and Democrats would be far less motivated to turn out. However, they would likely flip GA in 2022, along with PA, WI and NC.

FL, OH and IA would be tossups, but I think Democrats would have picked up at least one, with their best bet being an open seat in OH or IA. Sweeping all three would be possible on a very good night.
Perdue would still go to a runoff with 49.9%.
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