Canada Federal Representation 2024

[TwinGeeks99]

Here's my crack at British Columbia:

Full View


Okanagan/Kamloops


Vancouver Island


Lower Mainland


Metro Vancouver


2019 Election Results:
Conservatives - 18
New Democrats - 13
Liberals - 10
Greens - 2

2021 Election Results:
Liberals - 15
Conservatives - 14
New Democrats - 13
Greens - 1

2019 -> 2021 Flips:

CON -> LIB:
Fleetwood—Port Kells
Richmond East—Queensborough
Richmond West
Vancouver Granville

NDP -> LIB:
Burnaby North—Port Moody

GRN -> NDP:
Nanaimo

2019 Close Races (Within 2,000 votes):
Fleetwood—Port Kells: CON wins by 112 over LIB
Westwood—Port Coquitlam: LIB wins by 224 over CON
Coquitlam: NDP wins by 263 over CON
Burnaby North—Port Moody: NDP wins by 342 over LIB
Vancouver Granville: CON wins by 1,134 over LIB
Surrey—Cloverdale: LIB wins by 1,654 over CON

2021 Close Races (Within 2,000 votes):
Nanaimo: NDP wins by 589 over CON
Burnaby North—Port Moody: LIB wins by 946 over NDP
Richmond West: LIB wins by 1,171 over CON
South Surrey—White Rock: CON wins by 1,993 over LIB

Honorable mention:
Vancouver Granville: LIB wins by 2,086 over CON

All districts are within 10% except for Skeena—Bulkley Valley, which was unchanged.

[TwinGeeks99]

Using the Riding Builder, it would result in BQ+2, Lib-2 (Châteauguay and Gaspésie).

And this would be enough to tip the balance such that the Bloc now wins the plurality of seats in Quebec despite losing the provincewide vote. (Because of course the Liberals rack up big margins in Montreal and the Outaouais)