What is more likely to happen in Florida?

[EastwoodS]

Riverwalk? Riverwalk? where are yo- Oh, no, wait- here he comes, nevermind.

[EastwoodS]

Riverwalk, are you sure you aren’t at least a little biased with your FL predictions because the FL Democrats are the only non-GOP candidates you’ve endorsed in your signature?

he just wants to be edgy and trendy.

[EastwoodS]

Riverwalk, are you sure you aren’t at least a little biased with your FL predictions because the FL Democrats are the only non-GOP candidates you’ve endorsed in your signature?

he just wants to be edgy and trendy.

The funny thing is that your own predictions imply Florida trending left relative to the popular vote from 7.8 to the right of the nation to 6.5 to the right of the nation (though I doubt Trump wins the PV by 1 with the state margins you suggest unless California is D +15).

oh, so, now you acknowledge Fl is 8 points right of the nation.

[EastwoodS]

Riverwalk, are you sure you aren’t at least a little biased with your FL predictions because the FL Democrats are the only non-GOP candidates you’ve endorsed in your signature?

he just wants to be edgy and trendy.

The funny thing is that your own predictions imply Florida trending left relative to the popular vote from 7.8 to the right of the nation to 6.5 to the right of the nation (though I doubt Trump wins the PV by 1 with the state margins you suggest unless California is D +15).

oh, so, now you acknowledge Fl is 8 points right of the nation.

It was in 2020. I think it will be around 3 or maybe less in 2024.

For made up reasons in your head, of course

[EastwoodS]

Riverwalk, are you sure you aren’t at least a little biased with your FL predictions because the FL Democrats are the only non-GOP candidates you’ve endorsed in your signature?

he just wants to be edgy and trendy.

The funny thing is that your own predictions imply Florida trending left relative to the popular vote from 7.8 to the right of the nation to 6.5 to the right of the nation (though I doubt Trump wins the PV by 1 with the state margins you suggest unless California is D +15).

oh, so, now you acknowledge Fl is 8 points right of the nation.

It was in 2020. I think it will be around 3 or maybe less in 2024.

For made up reasons in your head, of course

It was 3 pre-COVID.

And I'm confident in the fact that Florida is vey different than pre-2020.

[EastwoodS]

Riverwalk, are you sure you aren’t at least a little biased with your FL predictions because the FL Democrats are the only non-GOP candidates you’ve endorsed in your signature?

he just wants to be edgy and trendy.

The funny thing is that your own predictions imply Florida trending left relative to the popular vote from 7.8 to the right of the nation to 6.5 to the right of the nation (though I doubt Trump wins the PV by 1 with the state margins you suggest unless California is D +15).

oh, so, now you acknowledge Fl is 8 points right of the nation.

It was in 2020. I think it will be around 3 or maybe less in 2024.

For made up reasons in your head, of course

It was 3 pre-COVID.

And I'm confident in the fact that Florida is vey different than pre-2020.

Why do you have it trending left relative to the popular vote then?

I think Trump winning the PV is more me pushing it than anything.

[EastwoodS]

@EastwoodS & @Devils30,
What do you think?




Unsure about Duval County. However I am certain Trump will take back Pinellas (he only lost to Biden by a mere 1,000 Votes there in 2020) and Seminole County and if current trendlines hold Trump wins Miami-Dade by about 15,000 Votes or so.

I agree with the county map except for Duval and I'm 50/50 on Miami Dade. It could really do it's own thing.

[EastwoodS]

Duval, Miami-Dade, and maybe Seminole are pure tossups.

Every other county votes how it did in the 2022 Senate election (outside of Hillsborough and Osceola-which will both still be much closer than in 2020).

I think Duval is Lean D, it was 7-8% to the left of the state in 2020 and 2022 and it would not shock me if its 10-12% left of the state in 2024.

Duval is more like an urban Georgia/ mid Atlantic City to me that just happens to be in Florida. So I agree