Will a winner ever carry fewer than 23 states?

[EastwoodS]

Given the Democrats' increased dependence on urban and suburban voters (which are mostly concentrated in large states), they could very realistically do this, especially if they manage to flip Texas and retain Georgia and Pennsylvania in future elections.

This won’t happen if Trump isn’t on the ballot. The suburbs will swing back. You can’t say that low propensity Biden voters will keep showing up while low Propensity Trump voters won’t. That biased and misleading.