- Alaska R+6
- Iowa R+7
- Ohio R+6
- Maine's second congressional district R+5
- Texas R+2
- Florida R+11
- North Carolina D+2
- Georgia D+3
- Arizona D+3
- Wisconsin D+4
- Pennsylvania D+5
- Nevada D+5
- Michigan D+7
- Nebraska's second congressional district D+10
- Minnesota D+9
- New Hampshire D+11
- Maine D+12
- Virginia D+11
- New Mexico D+12
- Colorado D+19
- New Jersey D+17
- Oregon D+19
- Illinois D+20
- Delaware D+20
- Washington state D+23
Why do you think VA will vote to the right of NM and ME-AL, the same way as NH, and only 2 points bluer than MN?
- Alaska: R + 7
- Iowa R + 9
- Ohio R + 10
- Maine's second congressional district: R + 8
- Texas R + 3
- Florida R + 5
- North Carolina R + 2
- Georgia D + 2
- Arizona D + 2
- Wisconsin D + 0.5
- Pennsylvania D + 1.5
- Nevada D + 0.5
- Michigan D + 2.5
- Nebraska's second congressional district D + 5
- Minnesota D + 8
- New Hampshire D + 4
- Maine D + 7
- Virginia D + 10
- New Mexico D + 8.5
- Colorado D + 16
- New Jersey D + 16
- Oregon D + 13.5
- Illinois D + 17
- Delaware D + 20
- Washington state D + 20
Minnesota, more Democratic than Maine? Four points to the left of New Hampshire? Why?
NH and ME tend to have anti-incumbent streaks at the presidential level
