BLM riots delivering Minnesota to Trump?

[BudgieForce]

Nobody is basing their November decision on this, no matter how much right-wingers want it to be true.

Some people should though, don't you think? Trump has made no attempt at addressing any of the systemic racism black and brown people face when it comes to law enforcement. Maybe some people should consider voting for the candidate who actually has plans to address these issues. Just thinking out loud here.

[BudgieForce]

Missouri, where the movement started, is the most glaring example. Trump won it by 18.5, doubling Romney's margin because his tough on crime message resonated with working class whites scared of those riots leading to a spiral of violence.

uh, what?

Missouri voted for Trump because Missourians are very receptive to populism, and Trump's 18.5-point victory came from running up huge margins in rural areas full of working-class whites and single-issue abortion voters. Ferguson, where BLM started, is in the middle of suburban St. Louis, which had no substantial swing from 2012 to 2016.

To be fair you could argue that St. Louis should have trended D in 2016 much like cities elsewhere in the US, but didn't because of BLM cancelling that trend.

That probably had less to do with BLM and more to do with the lowest turnout in over a decade.

[BudgieForce]

It was always "competitive". But Trump's poor leadership during this and the pandemic have probably nudged it more into Biden's corner.

[BudgieForce]

I really don't buy the idea that riots escalating on Trump's watch are going to drive suburban moderates back into Republican's arms. If Trump was acting like a leader and attempting to unite the country, sure. But right now this is just another crisis Trump has failed to address.