Nj 2017 legislature

[BudgieForce]

The Republicans won a majority of the vote in the 2009 Assembly elections (52-48) but still won only 40% of all seats. The Republicans will not win a majority in 2019

I'm curious what kind of map this was under. Given the balance of power during the 2000 redistricting cycle, it doesn't seem like Democrats would have been able to gerrymander the legislative maps. They didn't take over the legislature until 2002, and even then it was still only a split state Senate with a succession of GOP governors.

Either way, in regards to the other poster's statement, Democrats are absolutely not going to lose their majority in either chamber under Trump. I think it would really take an extraordinary set of events to even make that possible.

The map is created by an independent, bipartisan commission.

[BudgieForce]

Both the congressional and state legislature maps have been gerrymandered for incumbent protection. I believe in the last redistricting process, the proposed maps sent by both the GOP and Dems were similar. Also worth pointing out that the Democrats won the popular vote in 2015.

For Dem incumbents yes. For Republican incumbents no. The Democratic party went out of their way to gerrymander a potential Democratic district in Monmouth County in the 11th district and also a 4 county snake in the 16th district, both of which were safe under the 2001 map.

Bipartisan 10-member New Jersey Redistricting Commission

5 Democrats

5 Republicans

[BudgieForce]

Both the congressional and state legislature maps have been gerrymandered for incumbent protection. I believe in the last redistricting process, the proposed maps sent by both the GOP and Dems were similar. Also worth pointing out that the Democrats won the popular vote in 2015.

For Dem incumbents yes. For Republican incumbents no. The Democratic party went out of their way to gerrymander a potential Democratic district in Monmouth County in the 11th district and also a 4 county snake in the 16th district, both of which were safe under the 2001 map.

Bipartisan 10-member New Jersey Redistricting Commission

5 Democrats

5 Republicans

Trivia: What happens when those 10 do not agree on a legislative map?

An 11th member is appointed by a supreme court justice to break the tie.

Edit: If I may add, Alan Rosenthal was a great choice. Literally, you could have not have asked for a better person to split the tie.