Has GOP recruitment given Dems a shot at holding the Senate?

[MargieCat]

GOP recruitment has been a disaster and there is a chance it helps the democrats.

Sununu, Ayotte, or even Scott Brown would have a chance against Maggie Hassan.

The best candidate for Arizona would have been Doug Ducey, followed by Brnovich or Yee. Masters is a disaster and Kelly is a strong candidate.

Herschel Walker is very unstable and could end up fumbling the race and giving Warnock a full term. David Perdue really should have ran in this race or even Doug Collins. They are more like generic Georgia republicans.

Laxalt is not the strongest candidate. He's also pro-life, in a pro-choice state. He's not the worst recruit and could be considered a generic-R. The election conspiracy theories are not a great look.

Oz is not a great candidate, and the base seems to not like him. Fetterman is an outstanding candidate. I still think Oz could defeat Fetterman. But McCormick would have been a more difficult opponent.

[MargieCat]

Yes. The path to Dems holding the Senate is relatively narrow, but it certainly exists. Masters, Walker and Oz are all extremely flawed candidates who could definitely lose in spite of the environment.

Even Ron Johnson's favorability has massively declined since his last race. I suppose I'd still call him a narrow favorite, but him running probably makes the race harder for the GOP than it needs to be.

I agree.

If Ron Johnson chose not to run again, it's likely that Mike Gallagher or Bryan Steil ran.

In that situation, Democrats would have less of a shot in Wisconsin.

While incumbency is usually a good thing, Ron Johnson is an exception given how much he's gone off the rails.