Echelon Insights: Trump + 3 (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Echelon Insights: Trump + 3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Echelon Insights: Trump + 3  (Read 347 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: May 17, 2024, 01:34:42 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on May 17, 2024, 11:29:30 AM

Yeah the last 3 polls have been Trump +2 > Biden +3 > Trump +3

The 6-7 point change in one month among ballot and GCB is a bit messy. Sounds like a likely sampling thing

In fact, with this sample size MoE is a hair over 3% -- which applies to each candidate's share, not the margin -- so a 6% swing is entirely within MoE.  A good reminder that polls are not exact measurements.
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