No Labels to move forward with 2024 Bid

[GeorgiaModerate]

Obviously Duncan will be a huge flop, but if he can pull 1-2% in Georgia that could swing a state.

The question is whether the Trump-skeptical Republicans who vote for him are people who otherwise would have cast reluctant votes for Trump, or reluctant votes for Biden. I would lean toward No Labels hurting Biden more generally, but it's possible just in Georgia with a guy that Republicans have previously backed, he might hurt Trump more.

I could see Duncan taking more from Trump than Biden here.  There's a large "normal" subset of the state GOP (the type of voters who supported Brad Raffensperger, for example) and he's well respected by them.  I'm sure he'd be a non-factor in every other state.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DU8RSfD-jxM

Watch this: Cunningham is clearly interested in the VP slot.

Duncan and Cunningham might be nobodies, but at least they aren't essentially bureaucrat-administrator types like Evan McMullin. Obviously this race lacks the same urgency or novelty of 2016 where the desire for a third choice was far more risible (and hopes in such a possibility hadn't been dashed by the actual results of 2016), but maybe they'll have more appeal than ol' egg?

Sure, but the cycle you mentioned, 2016, featured the most on-paper qualified third party ticket of anyone here's lifetime: Johnson/Weld. It just so happened that Johnson was less strong in practice than in theory.

Even so, Gary Johnson is the strongest third party candidate of the post-Perot era and yet his performance is totally memory holed when people talk about that election, more than both McMullin and Stein despite getting twice as many votes as both of them combined.

The 2016 Libertarian ticket probably would have been stronger if the positions were switched.

Honestly I feel like they should have just run as an independent ticket. Most Americans view the 3rd parties as jokes and Johnson running as a Libertarian didn't do him any favors as you are basically taking the party mantle of a bunch of weirdos. At least with Independent people somewhat interested will do research and you can build a brand based off your name rather than an obscure party. That's why McMullin did pretty well in Utah, and why I think RFK will do decently in November.

McMullin was particularly suited to Utah, though, and also put in most of his effort there.  I don't think there's anyplace where RFK will have that kind of natural advantage.