2021-2022 NFL Pick Em/Discussion Megathread

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rodrigo Blankenship (who looks very shaky, possibly hurt) just missed an extra point, the 13th miss of the weekend.  This is the most misses of any weekend in the Super Bowl era.

This is also the first weekend with double-digit misses in both FGs and PATs since at least 2015, when the extra point kick distance was increased.

[GeorgiaModerate]

WEEK 5 RESULTS

The Ravens won a thriller last night, but it didn't affects the results because everyone picked them.  JGibson won the week at 14-2 (the best score so far this season), with four people a game behind.  Full results:

14 JGibson
13 fluffypanther19, nclib, olawakandi, Politics Fan
12 Donerail, GeorgiaModerate, NY Express, S019, SWE, Terry
11 CraneHusband, Grumps, texasgurl
10 Drew, ExtremeRepublican, slimey56, Thunder98
9 Illiniwek

There were three unanimous picks, all correct:

Bucs-Dolphins
Cowboys-Giants
Ravens-Colts

And five games with a single dissenter:

Packers-Bengals
Vikings-Lions
Titans-Jaguars
Patriots-Texans
Raiders-Bears (dissenter was right)

fluffypanther moves into the overall lead, a game ahead of S019.  Year to date (80 games):

54 fluffypanther19
53 S019
52 NY Express
51 JGibson, nclib, Politics Fan, SWE
50 Grumps, olawakandi, texasgurl
49 Thunder98
48 ExtremeRepublican, GeorgiaModerate
47 CraneHusband, Donerail, Illiniwek
45 Terry
44 slimey56
43 Drew
10 Smash255
9 Spark
7 Alben Barkley, Storr
1 Ishan

[GeorgiaModerate]

Bucs
Dolphins
Packers
Bengals
Colts
Rams
Chiefs
Panthers
Ravens
Browns
Broncos
Cowboys
Steelers
Bills

[GeorgiaModerate]

^ Missing a game.

[GeorgiaModerate]

While it didn't work out for the Eagles last night, I wanted to note that I loved Sirianni's decision to try that 2 point conversion.  Going for 2 after cutting it from 14 to 8 is something analytics people have been clamoring for years about, and it's nice to see it finally starting to catch on a little more (even if the announcers were kind of dumbfounded about it).

Basically, it's that, if you make it, you only need an extra point to win, while, if you miss it, you can get a second shot.  Assuming you score twice (and using a 50% 2PC rate and 100% XP success rate to simplify things), your chances are this:

Go for 2:
50% Win in regulation
25% OT
25% Lose in regulation

Go for 1:
100% OT

I agree, and the rate of extra point misses this year makes going for 2 an even better decision!

Many years ago I attended a game in the original version of the WFL (World Football League).  That league did away with kicking the extra point entirely.  TDs scored 7 points and were followed by an "action point" try, which was like the current 2-pointer but worth only 1 point.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Switch my vote
 Georgia Moderate to Bears beating Packers, another upset

Got it.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the early games done, ExtremeRepublican leads with 8-1, missing only Dolphins-Jaguars.  Nine people are at 7-2.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Frantic last few minutes in Cowboys-Patriots, heading to OT tied at 29.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the day games finished, ExtremeRepublican is still in the lead at 10-2 (there are only 14 games this week due to byes).  Politics Fan and Thunder98 are 9-3, followed by a crowd of eight people at 8-4.

[GeorgiaModerate]

WEEK 6 RESULTS

There was a tight grouping of results this week.  First place was a three-way tie at 10-4 between ExtremeRepublican, Politics Fan, and Thunder98.  Seven people were a game behind, and nobody did worse than 7-7.  Full results:

10 ExtremeRepublican, Politics Fan, Thunder98
9 Donerail, fluffypanther19, GeorgiaModerate, Illiniwek, S019, Terry, texasgurl
8 Grumps, nclib, NY Express, slimey56
7 CraneHusband, Drew, JGibson, olawakandi, SWE

There were two unanimous picks:

Rams-Giants
Bills-Titans (wrong)

And three games with a single dissenter:

Dolphins-Jaguars (dissenter was right)
Colts-Texans
Chiefs-Washington

Overall, fluffypanther remains in the lead by a game over S019.  Year to date (94 games):

63 fluffypanther19
62 S019
61 Politics Fan
60 NY Express
59 nclib, texasgurl, Thunder98
58 ExtremeRepublican, Grumps, JGibson, SWE
57 GeorgiaModerate, olawakandi
56 Donerail, Illiniwek
54 CraneHusband, Terry
52 slimey56
50 Drew
10 Smash255
9 Spark
7 Alben Barkley, Storr
1 Ishan

[GeorgiaModerate]

Browns
Falcons
Packers
Chiefs
Patriots
Panthers
Ravens
Raiders
Rams (this is not going to be pretty)
Cardinals (ditto)
Bucs
49ers
Saints

[GeorgiaModerate]

Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants FOX

Which one?

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Giants leads the Panthers at halftime 5-3, not exactly a common score.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Can this really be happening?  The Falcons manage the clock well at the end of a game to pull out a victory and get to .500?  I must be dreaming.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the early games finished, three people (ExtremeRepublican, NYDem, and S019) are 5-2, with a bunch at 4-3.  Due to byes, there are only 13 games on the schedule this week.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the early games finished, three people (ExtremeRepublican, NYDem, and S019) are 5-2, with a bunch at 4-3.  Due to byes, there are only 13 games on the schedule this week.

You have to let me know if I'm accidentally leaving games off the schedule.

I've done this for you earlier this season (at least in the college pick'em), but you didn't leave off any this week. 

I point out omissions when I see them, but this isn't guaranteed to happen; sometimes I'm still recording picks after games have started, in which case it's too late to provide a missing pick.  Also, I will point out an omission once in this thread; if the player still doesn't make the pick, I'm not going to chase them for it.  Ultimately, everyone is responsible for making sure all their picks are posted.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the early games finished, three people (ExtremeRepublican, NYDem, and S019) are 5-2, with a bunch at 4-3.  Due to byes, there are only 13 games on the schedule this week.

You have to let me know if I'm accidentally leaving games off the schedule.

I've done this for you earlier this season (at least in the college pick'em), but you didn't leave off any this week. 

I point out omissions when I see them, but this isn't guaranteed to happen; sometimes I'm still recording picks after games have started, in which case it's too late to provide a missing pick.  Also, I will point out an omission once in this thread; if the player still doesn't make the pick, I'm not going to chase them for it.  Ultimately, everyone is responsible for making sure all their picks are posted.

Not that. Since I'm hosting the pick'em, I would love a heads-up if I'm accidentally leaving games off of the actual NFL Schedule for the week.

Definitely.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Justin Fields sux he isn't gonna lead the Bears to Superbowl, funny everyone picked the Chiefs but me and they lost again

Actually, six people picked the Titans.

[GeorgiaModerate]

After the day games, NYDem and S019 lead with 9-2, followed by eight people at 8-3.

[GeorgiaModerate]

WEEK 7 RESULTS

First-time player NYDem won the week with 11-2, a game ahead of three people.  Full results:

11 NYDem
10 Grumps, Politics Fan, S019
9 ExtremeRepublican, fluffypanther19, GeorgiaModerate, JGibson, Terry, Thunder98
8 Donerail, nclib, slimey56, SWE, texasgurl
7 Drew, NY Express, olawakandi
6 CraneHusband, Illiniwek

There were three unanimous picks, all correct:

Patriots-Jets
Rams-Lions
Cardinals-Texans

And two games with a single dissenter:

Packers-Washington
Panthers-Giants (dissenter was right)

S019 moved up into an overall tie with fluffypanther19, with Politics Fan a game behind.  Year to date (107 games):

72 fluffypanther19, S019
71 Politics Fan
68 Grumps, Thunder98
67 ExtremeRepublican, JGibson, nclib, NY Express, texasgurl
66 GeorgiaModerate, SWE
64 Donerail, olawakandi
63 Terry
62 Illiniwek
60 CraneHusband, slimey56
57 Drew
11 NYDem
10 Smash255
9 Spark
7 Alben Barkley, Storr
1 Ishan

[GeorgiaModerate]

Cardinals
Falcons   (Do I really want to set myself up for another disappointment?)
Bills
Bears
Browns
Eagles
Colts
Bengals
Rams
Chargers
Seahawks
Broncos
Bucs
Vikings
Chiefs

[GeorgiaModerate]

If I still wore a watch, I would start setting it by nclib getting his picks in at the last minute.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I picked a bad week to predict the Lions' first win lmao. Eagles could have >50 points by the end of this.

There's never a good week to predict a Lions win.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the early games complete, olawakandi is 8-1, missing only Bengals-Jets (which everyone missed).  Three people are 7-2 and three others are 6-3.

We will not discuss how I'm doing this week.

[GeorgiaModerate]

With the day games finished, olawakandi still leads the week at 11-2, with CraneHusband a game behind.