FOX News: AZ: Biden +9; NC: Biden +4; WI: Biden +8 (user search)
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  FOX News: AZ: Biden +9; NC: Biden +4; WI: Biden +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FOX News: AZ: Biden +9; NC: Biden +4; WI: Biden +8  (Read 6878 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: September 02, 2020, 05:15:45 PM »

Been saying for a while now that AZ is the most likely Trump -> Biden flip this year (and this isn’t even a state where Ds tend to underpoll, which makes it even worse for him(.

I tend to agree, though it's a bit of a tossup between AZ and NE2 for me. I could easily see a Rust Belt state or two having a wider margin than those, but I feel like they might be the surest flips.

Dave Wasserman has been saying for a while that NE-2 is Biden's most likely flip, even more than Michigan.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2020, 05:45:40 PM »

If Biden wins WI, AZ, and NE-02, he doesn’t even need PA, right?

Yes, assuming he also flips Michigan and everything else stays the same, it gets him to exactly 270:

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2020, 11:19:45 AM »


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