ME-PPP: Biden +11 (user search)
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  ME-PPP: Biden +11 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-PPP: Biden +11  (Read 2617 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: July 06, 2020, 07:37:32 AM »

Rise and shine, y'all! It's polling time again!

Yeah, Maine is a state that I expect to snap back overall towards the Democrats (though I don't anticipate Biden will carry ME-02).

More broadly, this poll reinforces the indication that Trump hasn't made any in-roads in New England across the past four years.  

I also think Trump is the favorite in ME-02.  But with a margin like this, it would get interesting.  Trump won the district in 2016 by 10% while losing the state by 3%, while Johnson got 5%.  And this year Maine will be using RCV for the presidential election.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: July 06, 2020, 08:55:16 AM »
« Edited: July 06, 2020, 09:24:01 AM by GeorgiaModerate »

This puts Biden +10 nationally on UNS.

RE: Maine 02 - Democrats won the House seat back in 2018. Interestingly, they won as a result of a ranked vote system (controversial for some reason in the US, but used regularly round the world with no problems). Now I've read a number of wikipedia pages but I cant get my head around something - is this being used for the Presidential election as well? If so, this would surely change the dynamics of the election, as if neither Biden or Trump get over 50% of the votes, third party voter preferences would dictate the result of the election.

Yes, Maine is using RCV for the presidential election (for the first time).  Since the state also splits EV, this means that they are actually running *three* simultaneous RCV elections: one for each Congressional district and one for the statewide vote.

EDIT: RCV may or may not be used this year.  See post below from TiltsAreUnderrated.
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