Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov (weekly), April 21-23, 1500 adults including 1268 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 50 (nc)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

RV:

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 28 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-1)

2020: Generic D 41 (+2), Trump 35 (+2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

ABC/WaPo, April 22-25, 1001 adults (previous poll in late Jan.)


Approve 39 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-4)

Strongly approve 28 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 45 (-4)

[GeorgiaModerate]

ABC/WaPo, April 22-25, 1001 adults (previous poll in late Jan.)


Approve 39 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-4)

Strongly approve 28 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 45 (-4)

Thats frustrating. But these numbers seems to give merit to the theory that Mueller and Russia are already built into Trump's numbers.

Well, the prior poll was in the middle of the shutdown, which was a period when Trump's numbers were generally awful.  The two before that were 40/53 (Nov.) and 41/54 (Oct.)

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1122111857777631232

[GeorgiaModerate]

Texas: Emerson, April 25-28, 799 RC

Approve 46
Disapprove 44

Biden 50, Trump 49
O'Rourke 50, Trump 50
Trump 51, Sanders 49
Trump 53, Warren 47
Truamp 54, Harris 46
Trump 54, Buttigieg 46

[GeorgiaModerate]

New Hampshire: Suffolk, April 25-28, 800 RV

Approve 41
Disapprove 53

[GeorgiaModerate]

Technically this is favorability, and not approval so I cannot really put it on the polling map.

https://www2.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2019/04/29/read-full-results-suffolk-university-boston-globe-poll/WAyevf7yhzt1wUWcZKywQL/story.html

Favorability of Donald Trump, 41-53

Trump vs. the unidentified Democratic nominee -- 40-43, with a huge number of undecided... not usable.

No change in the maps.

It has both.  Question 7 is Trump approval, question 8 is Trump favorability.  Both round to 41/53, although they were slightly different at more decimal places (approval 40.63/53.38, favorability 41.13/53.50).

[GeorgiaModerate]

New Hampshire: Suffolk, April 25-28, 800 RV

Approve 41
Disapprove 53

It is favorability and non-favorability. There is also a question of how the Democrat (whoever wins) will fare against Trump, and a 43-40 split  is worthless. (More attention was given to Elizabeth Warren, and that may have given many the heebie-jeebies about such a split. She is an unusually weak candidate for President, as shown in the polling. As you will notice I am already putting polling results on "1.5". Eighteen more posts, max, on this thread. Such is the choice of the people at the Atlas.

Look closer.  As I mentioned in the other polling thread, this poll has both approval and favorability (and both round to 41/53).  Question 7 is approval.  Question 8 is favorability.

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN/SSRS, April 25-28, 1007 adults (prior poll March 14-17)

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (+1)

Strongly approve 35 (not asked in March)
Strongly disapprove 42

Impeach Trump?

Yes 37 (+1)
No 59 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Marist, April 24-29, 1017 adults including 840 RV (prior poll March 25-27)

Adults:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 53 (+2)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-2)

RV:

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 54 (+4)

Strongly approve 27 (not in March data)
Strongly disapprove 41

Vote for Trump in 2020?

Definitely yes 33 (-2)
Definitely no 54 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov (weekly), April 27-30, 1500 adults including

Adults:

Approve 42 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (nc)

Strongly approve 24 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 39 (nc)

2020: Generic D 42 (+1), Trump 34 (-1)

RV:

Approve 44 (-1)
Disapprove 53 (+1)

Strongly approve 28 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 43 (+1)

2020: Generic D 49 (+2), Trump 38 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, April 26-29, 1044 RV (1-month change)

Approve 41 (+2)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

Strongly approve 30 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Kaiser Family Foundation, April 23-28, 1200 adults.  This is not their regular monthly tracker, but I'll use the last one of those (April 11-16) for comparison.

Approve 43 (+2)
Disapprove 51 (-4)

Strongly approve 26 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (-3)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, April 17-30, 1024 adults (change from early April)

Approve 46 (+1)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

I believe this is Trump's best approval rating from Gallup.

[GeorgiaModerate]

NBC/WSJ, April 28-May 1, 900 adults (1-month change)

Approve 46 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-2)

Strongly approve 29 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (-2)

This is Trump's best result in this poll since October.  It's generally one of his better pollsters.

Full story at https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/hung-jury-public-remains-divided-over-mueller-probe-new-nbc-n1001886.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult state tracking polls

These are surprisingly plausible for Morning Consult.

[GeorgiaModerate]

St. Leo University, April 22-29, 1000 adults (change from Feb.)

Approve 42 (+2)
Disapprove 55 (-3)

Strongly approve 22
Strongly disapprove 44

[GeorgiaModerate]

St. Leo University, April 22-29, 1000 adults (change from Feb.)

Approve 42 (+2)
Disapprove 55 (-3)

Strongly approve 22
Strongly disapprove 44

Has Trumps performance actually improved?

His approval has bounced up a bit in the averages.  He's currently at -9.3 at 538, which is the closest it's been since just before the shutdown in December.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult/Politico, May 3-6, 1990 RV (1-week change)

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (-2)

Strongly approve 23 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-4)

2020 vote:

Definitely Trump 27 (-1)
Probably Trump 10 (+1)
Probably someone else 7 (+1)
Definitely someone else 46 (-2)

Net: Trump 37 (nc), someone else 53 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP, May 1, 658 RV (prior poll March 27-28)

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (+4)

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP, May 1, 658 RV (prior poll March 27-28)

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (+4)

Well, bust goes the gigantic Donald Trump bubble that was bobbing along the American skyline.

I hope the media gives this poll as much attention as they did to his more positive ones from the last few days. They're going to fail us again in 2020, aren't they?

It's one poll that's counter to the current trend.  I wouldn't get overly excited unless it's followed by others that are similar.  Outliers happen.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1126555773839056904

[GeorgiaModerate]

Iowa: PPP, April 29-30, 780 RV

Approve 49
Disapprove 49

2020: Trump 48, generic D 48

[GeorgiaModerate]

Emerson, May 10-13, 1006 RV

Approve 43
Disapprove 49

Exactly the same as their April poll.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1128162217625575425

He's not winning with those numbers.

Scott W. Rasmussen? That Scott Rasmussen?

Yes, that Scott Rasmussen.  Since separating from Rasmussen Reports, he's set up a polititics site at https://scottrasmussen.com/ that does daily polls by HarrisX.  (Note: the website seems to be available only intermittently.)