Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[GeorgiaModerate]

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D), Aug. 15-21, 2629 RV

Approve 44
Disapprove 56

Strongly approve 27
Strongly disapprove 46

Generic D 52, Trump 42

GCB: D 49, R 41

[GeorgiaModerate]

Another GQR poll:

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/Democracy Corps (D), Sep. 7-11, 800 RV including 775 LV

RV:

Approve 43
Disapprove 54

Strongly approve 31
Strongly disapprove 48

LV:

Approve 44
Disapprove 54

Strongly approve 32
Strongly disapprove 48

Trump trails Biden by 9, Warren by 7, and Sanders by 5.

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP battleground state poll, Sep. 4-5, 733 voters in AZ, FL, MI, PA, TX, WI only.

Approve 46
Disapprove 52

R: 83/13
D: 14/85
I: 43/54

Generic D 51
Trump 45

R: 11/85
D: 85/11
I: 40/53

Interesting that R and D are mirror images and cancel each other out, so the Independents swing the result against Trump.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult/Politico, Sep. 13-15, 1994 RV (1-week change)

Approve 43 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

Strongly approve 24 (+1)
Strongly approve 42 (nc)

Interesting for comparison: do you approve or disapprove of the job President Obama did as president?

Approve 58
Disapprove 39

Strongly approve 34
Strongly disapprove 27

2020:

Definitely vote for Trump 29
Probably vote for Trump 8
Probably someone else 7
Definitely someone else 46

GCB: D 44, R 37

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP battleground state poll, Sep. 4-5, 733 voters in AZ, FL, MI, PA, TX, WI only.

Approve 46
Disapprove 52

R: 83/13
D: 14/85
I: 43/54

Generic D 51
Trump 45

R: 11/85
D: 85/11
I: 40/53

Interesting that R and D are mirror images and cancel each other out, so the Independents swing the result against Trump.

Annoyed that they didn’t break out the numbers by state, but I would take a guess he’s probably not polling approval above disapproval in any of the states listed

With 733 total voters in six states, the sample sizes for each state would be really small and have a huge margin of error.  I don't blame them for not posting the individual state results.

[GeorgiaModerate]

This is a little old, but interesting.

AARP, July 29-31, 600 likely voters (all ages) in each of AZ, CO, KY, ME, and NC.

AZ:

Approve 46 (strongly 34)
Disapprove 50 (strongly 44)

Biden 50, Trump 45

CO:

Approve 43 (strongly 30)
Disapprove 55 (strongly 47)

Biden 51, Trump 42

KY:

Approve 55 (strongly 39)
Disapprove 43 (strongly 36)

Trump 53, Biden 41

ME:

Approve 45 (strongly 31)
Disapprove 53 (strongly 49)

Biden 50, Trump 44

NC:

Approve 47 (strongly 34)
Disapprove 50 (strongy 46)

Biden 49, Trump 45

[GeorgiaModerate]

California: Emerson, Sep. 13-16, 830 RV

Approve 35
Disapprove 59

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 14-17, 1500 adults including 1184 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 49 (-1)

Strongly approve 25 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

Generic D 40 (nc), Trump 36 (+1)

RV:

Approve 44 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

Strongly approve 30 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 45 (-1)

Generic D 48 (nc), Trump 40 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (-2), R 39 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

This is a little old, but interesting.

AARP, July 29-31, 600 likely voters (all ages) in each of AZ, CO, KY, ME, and NC.

[snip]

No pun intended, huh?

It wasn't!  I didn't notice that until you pointed out. 

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Tracker (weekly), Sep. 16-17, 1116 adults including 939 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-3)
Disapprove 55 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 39 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 55 (+2)

Strongly approve 23 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, Sep. 3-15, 1525 adults (prior poll Aug. 15-31)

Approve 43 (+4)
Disapprove 54 (-3)

The previous poll looks like an outlier, as this is more in line with the last few before that.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

Interesting that he’s underperforming his approval rating against the Democrats in the FOX poll

That's been a common trend in a number of polls lately.

[GeorgiaModerate]

NBC/WSJ, Sep. 13-16, 900 RV (1-month change)

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 33 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Lots of interesting issue questions in this poll.  Also, a question they ask about the President occasionally (last time was Oct. 2018):

Which one of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Donald Trump?

Like personally and approve of most policies 25
Like personally but disapprove of many policies 4
Don't like personally, approve of most policies 19
Don't like personally, disapprove of many policies 50

From the writeup of the poll:

Just 29 percent say they like Trump personally, with 25 percent saying they also approve of his policy agenda and 4 percent saying they disapprove.

On this measure, the high degree of personal dislike for Trump differentiates him from his five most recent predecessors. Majorities of voters said they personally liked Obama, Clinton, George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush, and Ronald Reagan, even though they might disagree vigorously with their political agenda.

In fact, prior to Trump’s presidency, the highest share of voters saying they disliked the president personally — regardless of their views on his policies — was 42 percent for George W. Bush in March 2006, after Hurricane Katrina.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-record-share-voters-dislike-trump-personally-democrats-n1057036

This possibly explains why Trump usually polls below his approval numbers in GE matchups.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Missouri: Remington Research/Missouri Scout, Sep. 18-19, 1046 LV

Approve 53
Disapprove 43

Trump 53, Biden 42
Trump 54, Warren 40
Trump 54, Sanders 37

[GeorgiaModerate]

ARG economic survey (monthly), Sep. 17-20, 1100 adults including 989 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 58 (+3)

RV:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 59 (+3)

This is Trump's worst showing in this poll since April, and his highest disapproval number since Sep. 2018.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, Sep. 19-23, 1337 RV (1-month change)

Approve 40 (+2)
Disapprove 55 (-1)

Strongly approve 29 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-2)

Overall, Quinnipiac continues to stay in a fairly narrow range.  Last 6 months:

Sep 40/55
Aug 38/56
Jul 40/54
Jun 42/53
May 38/57
Apr 41/55

Following question not asked last month, so change is from July:

Definitely vote for Trump 33 (+1)
Consider voting for Trump 10 (-2)
Definitely not vote for Trump 54 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Morning Consult/Politico, Sep. 20-22, 1994 RV (1-week change)

Approve 41 (-2)
Disapprove 55 (+2)

Strongly approve 22 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 42 (nc)

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 22-24, 1500 adults including 1198 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

Generic D 41 (+1), Trump 35 (-1)

RV:

Approve 44 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (-1)

Strongly approve 28 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 45 (nc)

Generic D 49 (+1), Trump 39 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 47, R 39 (no change)

[GeorgiaModerate]

New Jersey: Monmouth, Sep. 12-16, 651 RV (change from Feb.)

Approve 37 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

Should Trump be re-elected?

Yes 34
No 59

[GeorgiaModerate]

If you ever want to see a different world view, read a Zogby poll writeup.  From the current one:

But what's keeping Trump 's numbers high are his inroads with older Millennials aged 25-34 (44% approve/54% disapprove), Generation X voters aged 30-49 (55% approve/43% disapprove), Hispanics (43% approve/56% disapprove), suburban females (42% approve/56% disapprove), suburban parents (55% approve/43% disapprove), STEM workers (54% approve/45% disapprove), Catholic women (55% approve/45% disapprove) and Protestant women (55% approve/44% disapprove).

https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/901-the-zogby-poll-trump-s-job-approval-dips-a-little-but-still-strong-generation-x-stepping-up-their-support-for-trump-most-economically-vulnerable-think-trump-can-grow-the-economy-more-than-democrats

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos/Reuters Core Political Data (weekly), Sep. 24-25, 1117 adults including 942 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 20 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

RV:

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 23 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Civiqs, Sep. 21-24, 1548 RV

Approve 41
Disapprove 54

Warren 48, Trump 44
Biden 47, Trump 43
Sanders 46, Trump 44
Harris 44, Trump 44

[GeorgiaModerate]

Global Strategy Group, Sep. 11-16, 1500 RV (change from July)

Approve 41 (-2)
Disapprove 57 (+1)

Strongly approve 23 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (+2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Virginia: University of Mary Washington, Sep. 3-15, 1009 adults

Approve 39
Disapprove 54

Biden 55, Trump 37
Warren 53, Trump 38
Sanders 53, Trump 38
Harris 50, Trump 38