VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (user search)
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  VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2) (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)  (Read 100430 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #25 on: November 07, 2017, 02:19:44 PM »
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« Reply #26 on: November 07, 2017, 02:21:14 PM »
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« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2017, 02:30:17 PM »
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« Reply #28 on: November 07, 2017, 02:59:05 PM »
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« Reply #29 on: November 07, 2017, 03:00:16 PM »
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« Reply #30 on: November 07, 2017, 03:02:56 PM »
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« Reply #31 on: November 07, 2017, 03:09:26 PM »
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« Reply #32 on: November 07, 2017, 03:53:52 PM »
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« Reply #33 on: November 07, 2017, 04:04:02 PM »
Quote from: Castro on November 07, 2017, 04:03:28 PM
Yeah I don't think I'm going to rely on the guy on Twitter that went from wow Northam is going to win by the biggest margin since 1985 to he's relying on just absentees now over the course of a few hours.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #34 on: November 07, 2017, 04:25:09 PM »
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« Reply #35 on: November 07, 2017, 04:34:07 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on November 07, 2017, 04:31:24 PM
I think we should all take a hot bath and come back two hours later.

Won't the bath get cold by then?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #36 on: November 07, 2017, 06:05:54 PM »
538 live blog is up: http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2017-election-live-coverage-results/
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #37 on: November 07, 2017, 06:07:18 PM »
« Edited: November 07, 2017, 06:08:58 PM by GeorgiaModerate »
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Don't trust early exits, but if this is accurate then Gillespie is toast.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #38 on: November 07, 2017, 06:13:10 PM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on November 07, 2017, 06:11:32 PM
It is now pouring in Fairfax. It doesn't matter now because we already have the turnout we need there.

Btw, is anyone else following the Predictit thread? There is this Trump supporter who hilariously thinks Gillespie will win Loudon (Not impossible) but more importantly thinks Prince William County is up for grabs.

Interesting that Gillespie's down to .31 (down a nickel today).
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« Reply #39 on: November 07, 2017, 06:37:57 PM »
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« Reply #40 on: November 07, 2017, 06:58:48 PM »
The tweet says numbers up 120% in some rural precincts.  That's cherry picking.  We need to see relative turnout on a countywide basis.
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« Reply #41 on: November 07, 2017, 07:00:38 PM »
Dave Wasserman's take on the 538 live blog:

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« Reply #42 on: November 07, 2017, 07:01:43 PM »
Someone who speaks for us all...

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« Reply #43 on: November 07, 2017, 07:04:50 PM »
Harry Enten on the 538 blog:

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« Reply #44 on: November 07, 2017, 07:35:21 PM »
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-- Nate Cohn
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« Reply #45 on: November 07, 2017, 07:51:31 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on November 07, 2017, 07:50:52 PM
Quote from: Green Line on November 07, 2017, 07:47:52 PM
Well, get used to it Republicans.  This is what you get when you make a deal with the devil.

It is a divided nation. Period.

Interestingly, that also works if you take out the period between "nation" and "Period".
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #46 on: November 07, 2017, 07:53:02 PM »
Quote from: Oldiesfreak1854 on November 07, 2017, 07:51:15 PM
Quote from: TexArkana on November 07, 2017, 07:49:11 PM
If you're a Democrat right now, you've got to be bouncing off the freaking walls with excitement.
Quote from: bronz4141 on November 07, 2017, 07:49:14 PM
It looks like Northam will win the Virginia governorship in 2017.

Gillespie could run for a congressional seat or be a lobbyist or a businessman in the future.
Dude, Northam is only winning by 10K votes right now.  If that's not too close to call, then I don't know what is.

It's callable based on vote patterns.  Gillespie needed to run up a huge lead before the late-reporting heavily D Fairfax County comes in.  A Republican trailing before that happens has no chance.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #47 on: November 07, 2017, 08:08:33 PM »
Virginia, I think you can change the thread title now. Smiley
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« Reply #48 on: November 07, 2017, 08:10:37 PM »
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« Reply #49 on: November 07, 2017, 08:18:07 PM »
Clare Malone on the 538 blog:

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