DDHQ early forecast for 2018 House: D's gain 12 seats

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://decisiondeskhq.com/data-dives/ddhq-2018-house-midterm-forecast/

[GeorgiaModerate]

Not enough, right? We need 23 I think.

24.  It's currently 240R, 194D, with one vacancy (Chaffetz, which is certain to be filled by another R.)

[GeorgiaModerate]

This would be pretty pathetic for Dems.

Yes, this is only marginally better in terms of seats than what Democrats got when they won the House PV by ~1% in 2012. I'm not sure if DDHQ wrote on any projected House PV win margin in this article, but the idea that it would be just 2% or so (which is what a +12 seat gain might suggest) seems laughable right now. Democrats have consistently been up 8 - 10 points on the generic ballot for months.

I get that it's just a projection, but it seems pretty weak given all the other evidence we are seeing of a possible wave next year.

They were basing this projection based on a PV advantage of 8.4% (the current HuffPo average).

[GeorgiaModerate]

If uniform swings were a real thing, Hillary Clinton would be President today.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Folks, you should ease up on the sniping this early in this game, or you'll completely wear yourselves out by the time the 2018 elections get here.