Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) (user search)
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  Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How many House seats do you think the Democrats will pick up in 2018?
#1
60+
 
#2
40-60
 
#3
30-40
 
#4
25-30
 
#5
10-25
 
#6
0-9
 
#7
Loss of 0-9
 
#8
Loss of >10
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 114

Author Topic: Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition)  (Read 8057 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: May 27, 2017, 06:33:49 PM »

I voted 30-40, which is roughly in line with the average mid-term since 1990 in which the president's party controlled the House (so 2010, 2006, 2002, and 1994). I think Trump's unpopularity will really hurt Republicans, but gerrymandering/clustering and increased polarization will limit Republican losses.

I agree with this (and voted 30-40), with the caveat that 18 months is an eternity in politics.
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GeorgiaModerate
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Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 33,044


« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2017, 07:28:15 AM »

Trump ethics sealed probably set the motion for a Democratic victory in 2018, and with census and redistriction a Democratic solid majority in 2020. 

Redistricting won't take place until after the census is complete, so not until at least the 2022 election.
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