Ralston: "almost complete final turnout figures in NV, and they are eye-opening." (user search)
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  Ralston: "almost complete final turnout figures in NV, and they are eye-opening." (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ralston: "almost complete final turnout figures in NV, and they are eye-opening."  (Read 2398 times)
forsythvoter
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Posts: 736


« on: December 15, 2022, 10:11:27 AM »

Just curious why folks think the Reid turnout machine was so effective this cycle given the extremely poor D turnout? If the Reid machine were effective, I don't think there would have been a more than double digit turnout gap between Ds and Rs in Clark county.

It feels to me like NV is a clear example of Rs getting the base turnout they needed to at least comfortably win statewide, but failing to appeal to Independents (who decisively broke D in almost all of the battleground races).
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forsythvoter
Jr. Member
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Posts: 736


« Reply #1 on: December 15, 2022, 10:32:23 AM »

Just curious why folks think the Reid turnout machine was so effective this cycle given the extremely poor D turnout? If the Reid machine were effective, I don't think there would have been a more than double digit turnout gap between Ds and Rs in Clark county.

It feels to me like NV is a clear example of Rs getting the base turnout they needed to at least comfortably win statewide, but failing to appeal to Independents (who decisively broke D in almost all of the battleground races).

I mean, it was still a Biden midterm. I think the fact that Ds did what they did during a Biden midterm kind of proves it, no?

I think Ds undeniably did well, but I don't think you can attribute that to the D turnout machine given the partisan turnout actually favored Rs by quite a bit (not just in NV, but from I've seen in states like GA, PA, AZ) as well.

In NV's case, if the Reid machine did a lot of on-the-ground persuasion activities that convinced Indies and maybe some non-MAGA Rs to vote D, that might justify the claim that it was extremely effective, but given the Reid machine is really a Clark phenomenon and Washoe saw the same trend of Rs having a huge partisan voter edge but still losing decisively, I think what saved Ds in NV was a national trend of Rs turning off Is and perhaps moderate Rs for myriad reasons.
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