TopShelfGoal
Jr. Member
Posts: 322
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« on: November 21, 2020, 11:08:44 PM » |
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NC trended D between 2001 and 2012 relative to national popular vote and quite significantly so.
In 2000 election it was R+13
In 2004 it was R+10
In 2008 it was R+7.3
In 2012 it was R+5.94
In 2016 it was R+5.7
This year it will be around R+5.6 (based on Nate Silver's estimate of Biden +4.3 nationwide when all the counting
So as you can see it was trending D heavily and has stagnated the last two cycles. It remains to be seen if that stagnation is temporary or more permanent. The urban areas in NC continue to grow and I am not sure how much more Rs can rely on rural/exurban vote to counter that.
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