538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)
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  538 model & poll tracker thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 model & poll tracker thread  (Read 58213 times)
Stuart98
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,788
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -5.83

« on: September 23, 2020, 08:54:42 PM »

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/mississippi/

Biden, apparently, has a 14% chance of winning Mississippi.

1 in 7 chance. Of winning Mississippi.

1 in 7.
The Economist's model gives him only a 2% chance, which sounds more realistic when every single poll in the state has shown Trump +10 at worst. We have yet to have a poll in the state with higher than B+ quality though.
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Stuart98
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,788
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -5.83

« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 03:08:12 PM »

Friendly reminder not to feed the trolls.
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