Did Zeldin win the Jewish vote in NY?

[kwabbit]

Zeldin definitely did not. It's easy to see the dark red on the map of Borough Park and Palm Tree, but they are not the majority of NY Jews. The Upper West Side, West Brooklyn are areas with many secular Jews. They are voting upwards of 95% Dem, basically the same margin as the ultra-Orthodox, but they don't stand out on the map because their neighbors are voting similarly.

Reform Jews are the second most Dem voting bloc in the country after Black voters. There's a reason Democrats get around 80% nationally with Jewish voters despite the notable ultra-Orthodox areas that are 100% GOP.

[kwabbit]

According to the 2011 Jewish survey:  "Orthodox Jews and Russian-speaking Jews together comprise more than 40% of all Jews in the eight-county New York area."

Now it's possible the 42% is pretty much the ceiling among Jews (i.e. the conservative-leaning segments have maxed out, and there's minimal gain in the other segments).

40% of the population means a lower fraction of the electorate, so I would be surprised if it was just 56-43 in 2022, but Zeldin managed to improve on Trump's numbers by a substantial amount in South Brooklyn.

https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1600488623480127492/photo/1

That's less improvement in the Jewish areas of  South Brooklyn. The improvement is strongest in the Chinese areas.